Bayesian methods can update predictions as new data arrives. 贝叶斯方法可以在新数据到来时更新预测。
In a Bayesian framework, we combine prior knowledge with observed evidence to estimate uncertainty more realistically. 在贝叶斯框架中,我们把先验知识与观测证据结合起来,从而更现实地估计不确定性。
词源 Etymology
源自英国数学家与长老会牧师 Thomas Bayes(托马斯贝叶斯) 的姓氏 Bayes,加上形容词后缀 -ian(表示“……的 / 与……相关的”),形成 Bayesian,用来指代与贝叶斯定理及其推断体系相关的思想与方法。
The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy(Sharon Bertsch McGrayne)
Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning(Christopher M. Bishop)
Probabilistic Machine Learning: An Introduction(Kevin P. Murphy)